You are correct: westerners care more about Boston than Baghdad

There’s two reasons why.

The first is novelty. Bombings in Boston don’t happen very often. In countries torn by sectarian violence and in which each sect has bottomless supplies of suicide bombers, bombings are common. So as time goes on it slips further and further down the bulletin.

We call it “the News” and not “the Usuals”, because what gets published is what is unexpected or rare. Headlines like “Grandmother makes it home safely for thousandth time” and “99.99999% of humans not murdered today” are unlikely to see life anywhere but on The Onion.

The second is similarity. We care more about people who are like us. I cared deeply about the death of my grandparents. I cared more about their death than I did about the aftermath of the disintegration of Yugoslavia. And people were then dying in wars in Africa in countries I had never heard of and which I cannot, to this day, reliably point to on a map.

This is not a new observation:

Let us suppose that the great empire of China, with all its myriads of inhabitants, was suddenly swallowed up by an earthquake, and let us consider how a man of humanity in Europe, who had no sort of connexion with that part of the world, would be affected upon receiving intelligence of this dreadful calamity. He would, I imagine, first of all, express very strongly his sorrow for the misfortune of that unhappy people, he would make many melancholy reflections upon the precariousness of human life, and the vanity of all the labours of man, which could thus be annihilated in a moment. He would too, perhaps, if he was a man of speculation, enter into many reasonings concerning the effects which this disaster might produce upon the commerce of Europe, and the trade and business of the world in general. And when all this fine philosophy was over, when all these humane sentiments had been once fairly expressed, he would pursue his business or his pleasure, take his repose or his diversion, with the same ease and tranquillity, as if no such accident had happened.

The most frivolous disaster which could befal himself would occasion a more real disturbance. If he was to lose his little finger to-morrow, he would not sleep to-night; but, provided he never saw them, he will snore with the most profound security over the ruin of a hundred millions of his brethren, and the destruction of that immense multitude seems plainly an object less interesting to him, than this paltry misfortune of his own.

That’s Adam Smith, in a book called The Theory of Moral Sentiments (written before Wealth of Nations), discussing the oddities of human sympathy. Basically, it relies on similarity and proximity.

What most bugs me is when people decide to play morality calculus poker. Oh, you lost two people in a bomb blast? We lost 50. Oh, you lost 50 people in a bomb blast? Last week 100 were hacked to death down our way. Oh, you’re mad about machetes? How about the time …

I use the word “calculus” deliberately, because it reveals a defective mode of thought: that lives can be added and subtracted; that they can be integrated to an area under a blood-soaked curve to determine who has “won” the morality olympics in a kind of more-affronted-than-thou dick-waving contest. I find the whole process of debiting and crediting deaths to be utterly odious. Deaths cannot be subtracted from deaths. Evil is not deductible from evil. Two wrongs don’t make 50 rights.

Incidentally: Mao Tse Tung “wins” the moral calculus olympics. By a wide margin. And if you remove human agency and leave it up to mere events, he in turn is dwarfed by moderately dangerous diseases and so on up the line until you arrive at the fact that no religion, no ideology, no government, no empire, no economic system, no weapon, no army, no dictator and no president have ever killed more people, more horribly, than the passengers of fleas and mosquitoes. And death need not even a byproduct of parasitical life. The spasms of the restless Earth can kill millions in minutes.

So let’s just accept that Americans and westerners will care more about Boston. And that probably hardly anyone in Syria cares about either of them. And that right now people are dying in Africa of malaria at around 5-600 people per day who aren’t in a position to share some dumb bullshit on Facebook.

I see your moral calculus and I raise you the fact that the world sucks and you don’t have to be spiteful pricks about it.

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Why the law is slow, impersonal and obsessed with details

About a decade ago, as part of a long period of depression, I took up the study of law.

Eventually I gave it away in favour of programming computers. But law can be fascinating in its own right. Software development has more in common with legal thinking, and vice versa, than either might realise or care to admit.

There is one place where the law excels, however. It is institutions and norms. When you are drawn into a court, you are drawn into a mechanism that has in Common Law countries (broadly, the English-speaking world) been evolving for most of a thousand years.

And the law, as an institution, as a system, has learnt many lessons about itself. To outsiders law can seem fusty and rooted in its ways. This is not a coincidence, because lawyers are inducted into an institutional memory that recalls failures of justice over a span of hundreds and hundreds of years. They are never forgotten; they are renewed constantly with each generation of lawyer. We in software could learn from the lawyers in this regard.

Consequently, the legal system is slow, impersonal and obsessed with details.

Which brings me to this horrid mess.

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Anatomy of Movement

February 28, 2013

Anatomy of Movement by Blandine Calais-Germain, is a damn good book. Some time ago I bought, read and reviewed Lon Kilgore’s Anatomy Without a Scalpel. It’s a decent book, helpfully focused on strength trainees, and the chatty text makes it … Continue reading

I’ve had a Kindle DX for about 3 or 4 years now. In fact I’ve had two, I broke the first one by dropping it from a bench top. And I’ve been very happy with it. But it’s funny that … Continue reading

Just an FYI about RSVP

Like pretty much everyone my age who isn’t super-attractive, I have an online dating profile.

I used to have one at RSVP, for about ten minutes. Then I learned they have a feature where not only can you be blown off, you can be blown off with a sterile automated reply.

No thanks.

Anyhow: they have onsold my email to a weight loss scammer.

I don’t much care whether I authorised them to do this in subclause 5AA(xxi)-B of the click-through when I signed up.

It’s scummy slimebag behaviour.

Fits the Fairfax Media M.O., I suppose.

So, in conclusion, RSVP suck. Use anything else.

Posted in Life, Rants | 1 Comment

“Dear Northern Territorians …”

“… fuck you”.

This is the essence of today’s announcement by the Prime Minister that she is going to parachute Nova Peris into the #1 spot on the ALP’s Senate ticket. The electoral calculus means that this will guarantee a Senate place for Peris.
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Posted in Politics - national, Politics - Northern Territory, Rants | 3 Comments

The Mystery Continues

I am now fast approaching the one year anniversary of the last time I performed a clean & jerk.

For someone who describes himself as an amateur weightlifter, this is an unhappy state of affairs.

The first half of the year was occupied with getting my left knee in working order. The rest of the time has been spent trying to diagnose what in the blue blazes is wrong with my shoulder.
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On Selling To Consumers

The software industry is a funny thing. For all of our heroic examples (Gates, Jobs, Page, Zuckerberg etc), it is difficult to tell whether we worship them because they are software-y types like us or whether we only do so because they are also famous to everyone else. Pop quiz! Who founded MicroStrategy?

Here’s the thing. Your Gates archetype is famous because of selling into the mass consumer market. Journalists have heard of their product because they too are part of the mass consumer market. So they are famous because they happen, by coincidence, to sell a product that many people buy.

Selling a mass market product is really, really hard to turn a seriously juicy buck on. For two big reasons.

First: it’s hard. Every business is hard. Selling into a mass market is just the same sort of hard multiplied by hundreds of millions of people who have no rational explanation for why they will happily pay $4.30 daily for a coffee but who will refuse to pay $5 monthly for random-app.example.com.

Second: the consumer market’s importance is vastly overstated. This really in-hindsight-blindingly-obvious-fact comes to me courtesy of Hayek in his lecture, The Conditions of Equilibrium between the Production of Consumers’ Goods and the Production of Producers’ Goods, originally published in Prices and Production.

Most of the actual stock of capital in the economy is not in the hands of consumers. It is tied up in the “structure of production”.

Any one product might be seen as the output of a complicated graph which is its “structure of production”. But at any one point of time, most of the value of the structure is not in the consumer product. It’s in the rest of the structure in various stages of digestion.

That is, almost all the money and value and machinery and work in progress and untransformed goods ad infinitum are not on the shelf at Wal-Mart. They are distributed across the economy.

So. Why are you, the software entrepreneur, trying to sell a mass market product, at what will probably be a low-per-unit gross profit, when almost all the easily-available money is flowing between businesses? Especially if you tot up the hit-driven nature of consumer software versus the very high opportunity cost of not doing freelancing or taking employment.

Because of sample bias. You want to be rich, and all the rich software-y people you’ve heard of are involved in the mass market. Try reading a Rich List some time (from any country). Count how many in the top 100 you’ve ever heard of. Notice how few of them made their zillions selling directly to consumers.

That is not a coincidence.

Today’s rant inspired tangentially by this blog post and this story about selling a mass consumer product.

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Books I Read on Holidays

January 2, 2013

My busted shoulder did me a single favour over the Christmas-New Years period. It excused me from being useful at my sister’s new home, where she and my brother-in-law are frantically working to fix the place up before moving in. … Continue reading

Fancying, part 2.

For a long time I’ve linked from my book reviews to Amazon, giving both affiliate and direct links.


I’m still doing it, but now I’m adding nice little visual callouts. To the right you can see an example. The concept of having such callouts — and having affiliate and direct links — is something I have pinched from Mark Jason Dominus. The callouts are powered by a small plugin, turning a simple “shortcode” into the box you see.

The thinking is that a visual callout, including the cover image, will attract more clicks than the inline links (I learnt from Tested Advertising Methods that having a picture outperforms any headline).

As before, the font I’ve used is Dijkstra. Don’t like it? Think it looks too much like SimCity 2000-plus-obnoxious-web-2.0-linear-blending? Too bad. Dijkstra was a legend and SC2k was great.

I don’t expect to retire on Amazon affiliate clickthrough money (I’ve made $18 in the past 6 months), but insofar as it offsets my book buying habit, it’s a nice thing.

I’ve gone back through my archive and added callouts for books that I’ve reviewed, as well as any mentioned in passing.

Lastly, I’ve removed the “Book Review” badge from individual reviews, I think the callouts will show what’s what.

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